Incidence
Bowel cancer has become the most frequently occurring cancer
(other than skin) in Australia. One Australian in 21 will
develop bowel cancer, one in 17 males (second most common
after prostate at 1 in 11 males) and one in 26 females (second
most common after breast at 1 in 11 women),
Since 1975, there has been a rapid increase
in the incidence of bowel cancer in Australia which appears
to be related to Western lifestyle. Australia, together with
New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States of America
has one of the highest incidences of bowel cancer in the world.
Migrants to Australia from low risk countries begin to show
an increased risk of bowel cancer within ten years of arrival,
and migrant communities will have reached the general Australian
risk within two generations.
Bowel cancer is seen most commonly in people
between the ages of 50 and 80, but it can occur in teenagers,
and is seen in people in their twenties and not uncommonly
in their thirties.
Although some are at higher risk, (in particular,
those with a strong family history of bowel cancer), 85% of
patients presenting with bowel cancer will have no known risk
factors.
Surgical cure rates
There have been significant advances in the treatment of established
bowel cancer in the last 30 years. These gains, somewhat marginal,
have been the result of using newer techniques to avoid the
necessity for permanent stomas and by the development of specialised
training programmes in colorectal surgery, used in combination
with sophisticated radiotherapy and chemotherapy treatment
schedules.
Overall we cure 50% of bowel cancers that
present with symptoms, but that proportion is higher in patients
whose cancers are diagnosed as part of a screening program
and at an earlier stage. The improving rate of cure for bowel
cancer in NSW, now up to 60%, thus seems to be due to earlier
diagnosis. In turn, earlier diagnosis seems likely to be due
in part to greater community awareness of the need to investigate
bowel symptoms.
Screening for polyps
In addition to early diagnosis of bowel cancer, screening
programs can prevent the disease. Nearly all bowel cancers
start as polyps, small “warty” growths which appear
on the surface of the bowel lining. Polyps are very common,
especially as people become older, most developing during
and beyond the fifth decade of life. Most polyps do not become
cancerous; but (almost) all cancers arise from a polyp. Note
that, with breast and prostate cancer screening, a positive
test indicates cancer (albeit early in development and thus
potentially curable), whereas the identification and removal
of colonic polyps will actually prevent cancer. Indeed it
takes probably between 7 and 14 years for a polyp to become
cancer.
The Colorectal Foundation
Types of screening
Broadly speaking, there are three forms of screening available
at present. Testing for unsuspected blood loss in the bowel,
called faecal occult blood testing (FOBT), radiological techniques,
such as barium enema and computerised tomographic colonography
(or “virtual” colonoscopy) or colonoscopy.
Faecal occult blood
testing has been shown in large overseas studies to
decrease the overall deaths from bowel cancer by 15%. Its
main purpose is to diagnose bowel cancer early, and is poor
in the diagnosis of polyps, and as such is of little value
in prevention of bowel cancer. The test is easy, without risk,
and in itself relatively cheap, but as the likelihood of having
a bowel cancer with a positive test is much higher than the
normal population, a positive test effectively commits the
patient to a colonoscopy with its attendant costs and risks,
and at least 50% of those colonoscopies are normal. It has
the potential to miss 12% of cancers.
Radiological techniques
will miss up to 30% of significant polyps, and will fail to
diagnose up to 5-10% of bowel cancers. In the event that a
polyp is shown on one of these techniques, colonoscopy is
then necessary to confirm the diagnosis and to remove the
polyp. While the technique of the “virtual colonoscopy”
continues to develop, the current position, as expressed in
recent editorials in the Lancet and the Medical Journal of
Australia that the software capabilities are not yet sufficiently
developed to allow widespread use. Again, a positive finding
will require a subsequent colonoscopy for confirmation and
therapy.
Colonoscopy
will define 95-100% of significant polyps, and nearly all
cancers, thus remaining the most widely used form of screening,
both because of its accuracy, and because it is possible to
remove the vast majority of polyps at the time of diagnosis.
Drawbacks are the cost to the community and inconvenience
to the patient, as well as the important possibility of complications.
Although as many as one colonoscopy in every thousand in Australia
is reported to result in a bowel perforation, experience and
skill will reduce the risks to as low as one in 10,000.
Future Issues
Among the issues related to screening which require requiring
clarification are: age of commencement of screening, appropriate
screening intervals, cost-effectiveness of various modalities
in the Australian setting, the most effective methods of combining
the screening modalities, and a clear definition of the utility
of various tests in people of differing risk profiles.
These issues require definition, not only
because of the obvious benefits to the community from effective
prevention and early diagnosis of bowel cancer, but also because
of the overall cost of such screening to the community. For
example, lifetime screening applied now for all Australians
between the ages of 50 and 69 years, using the cheapest test
(FOBT) carried out every two years, together with follow-up
colonoscopy of all those with positive results, has been estimated
to cost more than $2 billion annually. It is clearly important
that efforts be made to answer the questions posed above and
epidemiological research be undertaken to answer these questions
should be of high priority.